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Home › URC › Connacht vs Leinster

Connacht vs Leinster

Connacht vs Leinster kicks off at 21:45 SAST on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Dexcom Stadium in United Rugby Championship.

Kick-off: 21:45 SAST · Friday, 30 October 2026 · Dexcom Stadium

The licensed books price this match on match week; the boxes appear here then.

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Prediction from the model, not a tipster

Leinster to beat Connacht by about 3 points: a lean at 56%. The licensed books price this match on match week.

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The pick is a points-rating model walked forward over every result on file (home advantage 6 points). Its record is measured the same way. It can be wrong; nothing here is advice.

Connacht

  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Last 6: 4 won, 2 lost; scored 148, conceded 116.

Leinster

  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Last 6: 5 won, 1 lost; scored 240, conceded 78.

Going into the match

Connacht have won 4 of their last 6; Leinster 5 of their last 6.

Last 2 meetings: Connacht 0, Leinster 2.

Head to head

DateMatchCompetition
24 Jan 26Connacht 23-34 LeinsterUnited Rugby Championship
03 Jan 26Leinster 52-17 ConnachtUnited Rugby Championship

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Next in the URC

Winners know when to stop. 18+. Gambling can be addictive. National Responsible Gambling Programme 0800 006 008 (free, 24 hours). Only bet with bookmakers licensed in South Africa. Predictions here are a model's output from past results; they can be wrong and are not advice.