Home › Predictions
Rugby predictions this weekend
Rugby predictions this weekend: a pick for each of the 8 matches on the calendar to Saturday, 26 September 2026, with the win chance, the expected margin and the best licensed price on the pick; the model is 67% right over 156 results, measured walk-forward.
67%picks right, 156 results, walk-forward
8matches picked this week
1strong picks (78%+)
| Match | Kick-off | Pick | Chance | By | Best price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benetton Treviso v Dragons URC | Fri, 25 Sept 20:45 | Benetton Treviso lean | 59% | 4 | - | Bet· Easybet |
| Connacht v Stormers URC | Fri, 25 Sept 20:45 | Connacht lean | 60% | 4 | - | Bet· Easybet |
| Ulster v Edinburgh URC | Fri, 25 Sept 20:45 | Ulster pick | 75% | 12 | - | Bet· Easybet |
| Lions v Leinster URC | Sat, 26 Sept 13:30 | Leinster lean | 62% | 5 | - | Bet· Easybet |
| Sharks v Ospreys URC | Sat, 26 Sept 16:00 | Sharks pick | 77% | 13 | - | Bet· Easybet |
| Munster v Glasgow Warriors URC | Sat, 26 Sept 18:30 | Munster lean | 56% | 3 | - | Bet· Easybet |
| Zebre v Bulls URC | Sat, 26 Sept 18:30 | Bulls strong | 81% | 16 | - | Bet· Easybet |
| Scarlets v Cardiff Blues URC | Sat, 26 Sept 20:45 | Scarlets lean | 60% | 4 | - | Bet· Easybet |
How it works: every side carries a points rating that moves with each result (a win by more than expected lifts it, home advantage is worth 4 points). The pick is the side the ratings favour; the chance comes from the expected margin. The record shows how the same method did on every past result, predicting each one only from what came before it.
Winners know when to stop. 18+. Gambling can be addictive. National Responsible Gambling Programme 0800 006 008 (free, 24 hours). Only bet with bookmakers licensed in South Africa. Predictions here are a model's output from past results; they can be wrong and are not advice.